Startup Failure (2024)

Posted by Elizabeth Pollman (University of Pennsylvania), on

Friday, September 29, 2023

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Elizabeth Pollmanis Professor of Law and Co-Director of the Institute for Law and Economics at the University of Pennsylvania Carey Law School. This post is based on her recentpaper forthcoming in the Duke Law Journal. Related research from the Program on Corporate Governance includes What Matters in Corporate Governance? (discussed on the Forumhere) by Lucian Bebchuk, Alma Cohen and Allen Ferrell.

Venture-backed startups famously aim for “exit.” On the path to building great companies, entrepreneurs raise rounds of venture financing and assemble a team to develop an innovative product or service that can grow fast. Success for startups is often framed as reaching a liquidity event, or exit, that provides financial returns and rewards to the investors, founders, and employees. There are two main ways to do this: sell the company or go public. Each of the two paths to a successful exit—going public or an M&A sale—have been the subject of significant scholarly examination and public debate in recent years.

Most venture-backed startups, however, never reach either of these paths, or if they do it is in a state of distress. Approximately 75% of venture-backed startups fail – the number is difficult to measure, however, and by some estimates it is far greater. In general, a startup can be said to fail when it ultimately falls short of reaching an exit at a valuation that would provide a return to all equity holders. This can occur for a wide variety of reasons—such as running out of cash, problems in the team, shortcomings with product development or business model, getting outcompeted, a lack of market need, or changed circ*mstances. The participants may not expressly call this a “failure”—and indeed they may work mightily to find a “soft landing” that allows them to characterize it otherwise—but it is distinctly an end that is not a going-public transaction or M&A sale that results in returns to all equity holders.

This third and most common path—startup failure—receives little attention in the scholarly literature, yet it is a critical part of the startup and venture capital ecosystem. The ability of startups, and their participants, to fail efficiently and “with honor” helps sustain the system out of which also grows some of the largest successes in the history of U.S. business.

My forthcoming article, StartupFailure, provides a theory of the law and culture facilitating failure and argues that it serves an important role in the startup and venture capital ecosystem. A range of options exists and has not before been explored in the big picture—as a system for dealing with the large number of failed startups that our venture capital ecosystem produces.

Although a developed bankruptcy system is considered crucial to entrepreneurship and the business environment, venture-backed startups are unlikely to turn to the formal bankruptcy process. The article begins by explaining why a formal bankruptcy process does not fit the needs of most distressed venture-backedstartups and what we can learn from the rare exceptions.

Specifically, the typical capital structure of startups does not involve significant commercial liabilities that need to be satisfied. Further, venture-backed startups are, by their nature, melting ice cubes – the team’s talent and technological know-how, intellectual property or other intangible assets, and network effects of a growing enterprise can disappear quickly once it becomes known that the startup is in distress. Not only is the typical startup a melting ice cube, but it is also embedded in a network of reputational concerns and constraints in a venture capital ecosystem. Angel investors, venture capitalists, and venture lenders are all repeat players in venture investing and lending. Venture capitalists invest based on the “power law” that a small number of big hits may drive much of the returns for the fund. A long, drawn-out bankruptcy process is often the last thing that venture capitalists want to be involved in given opportunity costs and potential reputational harm. Particularly in a competitive environment for getting into startup deals, it is not worth squeezing the last dollar back from a startup. All of these reasons are in addition to cost and timing issues. Examples of startup bankruptcies ranging from Solyndra to FTX provide a study of the unusual exceptions that prove the rule: failed startups typically do not favor using the formal bankruptcy process.

What, then, happens to the great number of startups that are failing to achieve their founding dreams? A range of options exists and has not before been explored in the big picture—as a system for dealing with the large number of failed startups that our venture capital ecosystem produces. The alternatives to bankruptcy that venture-backed startups commonly use include M&A sales, acqui-hire transactions, and assignments for the benefit of creditors (ABCs). The low cost, speed, potential for private ordering, and light level of legal formality involved in these options allow venture-backed startup participants to “fail fast” and for assets and talent to be absorbed or redeployed without significant reputational harm.

Putting together the strong social and cultural norms in startup networks and the venture capital business model reveals the modus operandi of Silicon Valley’s approach to startup failures: normalize and redeploy. Entrepreneurs and employees often benefit from being able to take a swing and miss. Failure might result from a lack of luck or other factors beyond an entrepreneur’s control. Knowing that failing will not harm one’s ability to get a “regular” job or try again at entrepreneurship, so long as one aims to treat others well, may help to motivate the decision to launch an innovative startup or go work for one. In many instances, venture capitalists can provide implicit insurance to spread the risk of individual failure by being willing to make introductions to other portfolio companies, early-stage investors, and soft landing opportunities. More broadly, because buttressing entrepreneurs’ willingness to take on risk is integral to venture capital, it often redounds to a VC firm’s benefit to cultivate a reputation for supporting entrepreneurs in this way—whether in good times or in bad.

Notably, several developments are shifting the landscape of venture capital investing and suggest that the system may come under pressure to deal with the size, type, or number of failures. New entrants to venture-backed startup investing, longer timelines of staying private, higher valuations and amounts raised, and looming increased antitrust scrutiny of technology acquisitions all point to change that might test the adaptability of the existing law and culture of startup failure that aims to normalize and redeploy at low social and financial cost.

Therefore, in its final section, the Article sheds light on regulatory and doctrinal opportunities to advance the law’s approach to startup failure. For example, recent years have witnessed a number of legislative proposals and arguments to ratchet up antitrust scrutiny on acquisitions by large technology companies. Attention should be paid to calibrating regulatory responses so as not to impede the flow of dealing with large numbers of startup failures that do not pose significant competition issues. Likewise, state laws could promote efficiencies in dealing with failure by adding doctrinal clarity to challenging but commonplace scenarios that startup boards face in fulfilling their fiduciary duties, and spreading insights from California’s state insolvency procedures to growing startup hubs across the country.

The value of supporting failure often attracts less regulatory and scholarly attention than the shiny allure of success, but the two are entwined in the larger startup and venture capital ecosystem which funds high-risk innovative business and has enormous social and economic impact.

The article, forthcoming in the Duke Law Journal, is available here: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4535089.

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Startup Failure (2024)

FAQs

What is startup failure? ›

In general, a startup can be said to fail when it ultimately falls short of reaching an exit at a valuation that would provide a return to all equity holders.

Why do 80% of startups fail? ›

One of the biggest reasons why startups fail is that founders overestimate their products. Finding the market fit of a new startup takes 2 to 3 times longer than many founders anticipate. Meanwhile, founders often overestimate the value of their intellectual property before product-market fit—by as much as 255%.

What do you do if your startup fails? ›

The first step after a startup fails is to wrap up the business in a professional and respectful manner. This means notifying your customers, partners, investors, and employees about the situation and fulfilling any contractual obligations. You should also close your accounts, pay your debts, and file your taxes.

Why do 90% of small businesses fail? ›

The relatively high startup failure rates are due to various reasons, with the most significant being the absence of a product-market fit, poor marketing strategy formulation and implementation, and cash flow problems. Why do entrepreneurs fail? In most cases, a business fails due to multiple reasons.

Is it true that 90% of startups fail? ›

According to a report by Startup Genome, 90% of startups fail. Why? One of the biggest reasons is that just having an idea does not guarantee success and many startups are proof of that.

How to avoid startup failure? ›

5 Proven Tips Every Entrepreneur Must Know to Avoid Startup Failure
  1. Keep a track of the Market and be open to change, always. ...
  2. Create a foolproof business plan. ...
  3. Your team is your backbone; make sure to select the right people for your business. ...
  4. Spend your finance heedfully. ...
  5. Keep a track of your competitors.
Apr 13, 2023

Why startups don t succeed? ›

Key Takeaways. According to business owners, reasons for failure include money running out, being in the wrong market, a lack of research, bad partnerships, ineffective marketing, and not being an expert in the industry. Ways to avoid failing include setting goals, accurate research, loving the work, and not quitting.

What year do most startups fail? ›

30% of startups fail within three years. 50% don't make it past five years. 70% close down in 10 years.

How many startups actually succeed? ›

On average, 63% of tech startups don't make it, 25% close down during the first year, and only 10% survive in the long run.

Is a failed startup bad on a resume? ›

Answer: Only if it was acquired.

If your startup failed for other reasons, it's best to leave it that part off your resume. As we have mentioned, the hiring manager won't be surprised that a startup failed and it doesn't have to be negative. However, you don't need to highlight the reasons on your resume.

How to exit a failed startup? ›

Whether you are an entrepreneur with a startup or a seasoned CEO, you need to consider which of these business exit strategies is the one for you.
  1. Selling your stake.
  2. Family succession.
  3. Acquihires.
  4. Management and employee buyouts.
  5. IPO.
  6. Liquidation.
  7. Bankruptcy.

When to walk away from your startup? ›

It's time to walk away when you objectively determine there is no sustainable market for your product or service and you are not willing to make the investment to educate a market. At that point, there is no upside to continuing to invest time and money.

How do you tell if your startup is failing? ›

What are the warning signs that your startup is about to fail?
  1. No product-market fit. Be the first to add your personal experience.
  2. No sustainable business model.
  3. No strong team.
  4. No market traction.
  5. No adaptability.
  6. No passion.
  7. Here's what else to consider.
Dec 15, 2023

How long do startups last? ›

The average startup lasts between two and five years.

On average, 90% of startups survive one year. 69% of small businesses survive two years. However, only 50% of startups will survive five years.

How many entrepreneurs become millionaires? ›

88% of millionaires are entrepreneurs. You likely won't get wealthy putting money into a savings account or buying index funds. This is the lie you're sold so you never get wealthy.

How do I know a startup is failing? ›

Though every startup is unique, there are common warning signs of potential failure. Here are key indicators to watch for: - Financial Trouble: Cash flow issues, high burn rate. - No Market Fit: Low customer adoption, negative feedback. - Team Problems: High turnover, communication issues.

How do you define a startup problem? ›

Let's break this problem statement for startup businesses down:
  1. Be absolutely as specific as possible. ...
  2. Clearly identify your target market. ...
  3. Define the size of the market and the specific problem. ...
  4. Define the current (bad) solution. ...
  5. Remove all instances of the words “we” or “I.”
Mar 25, 2020

What happens to founder when startup fails? ›

Founders may experience grief, anger, anxiety, loss of confidence, and all sorts of other fun emotions. It's totally normal to feel that way. Starting a business is deeply personal, so it's only natural that failing at it cuts deep.

How do I exit a failing startup? ›

Whether you are an entrepreneur with a startup or a seasoned CEO, you need to consider which of these business exit strategies is the one for you.
  1. Selling your stake.
  2. Family succession.
  3. Acquihires.
  4. Management and employee buyouts.
  5. IPO.
  6. Liquidation.
  7. Bankruptcy.

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