Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has been a fortress stock during recessions and bear markets. Here's how (2024)

Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway CEO and chairman.

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As investors head to the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholders meeting this weekend, they can rest easy in a stock that's not only trading near all-time highs, but is also a safe haven during turbulent times.

Berkshire has a history of outperforming the during recessions, and performing especially well during bear markets, according to data from Bespoke Investment Group. Since 1980, Berkshire shares have beat the broader market over the course of six recessions by a median of 4.41 percentage points.

Even more impressive is the stock's performance during bear markets. During the same time period, the conglomerate outpaced the S&P 500 each time it dropped 20%, beating the broader index by a median of 14.89 percentage points.

For Warren Buffett, that reputation is no accident, but one that has been built over many decades by maintaining a long-term focus to steer investors through tough waters, and keeping conservative investments.

"[One] stock that has gained a reputation for safety is Berkshire Hathaway (BRK/A), and based on the last several decades, the distinction has been earned," read a Bespoke note from earlier this week.

Long-term focus

Known for his value-based investing style, the Oracle of Omaha makes long-term bets on companies that boast strong fundamentals and are likely to see future growth.

Among his notable winners over the years is Apple, which he started buying in 2016 and which has been compared with his legendary investment in Coca-Cola. The iPhone maker has outperformed throughout the bear market, similarly driving outperformance for Berkshire as Apple accounts for roughly 45% of the firm's portfolio, according to CNBC's Berkshire Hathaway portfolio tracker. It's also about one-quarter of Berkshire's market cap. Apple shares are up 27% this year.

"As goes Apple, so goes a good deal of Berkshire," Bespoke's Paul Hickey said.

That has helped Berkshire Hathaway Class A shares climb more than 4% this year. That's slightly below the S&P 500, but the stock is still trading near 52-week highs it reached just this week. On Monday, it reached $506,000 per share. It first crossed the half-million-dollar threshold last year.

For Berkshire shareholders attending this year's conference, the stock price performance proves the value of holding shares over a long period of time.

"The vast majority of the people that show up here are over the age of 60. That's who's gotten rich from owning Berkshire Hathaway," said Bill Smead, founder and chairman of Smead Capital Management and a Berkshire shareholder. "People held Berkshire Hathaway to a fault and they got that benefit."

To be sure, his wagers haven't always paid off. The billionaire investor notoriously sold all his airline stocks at the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic, which meant a loss to his investment.

A conservative stance

Buffett has also maintained a conservative stance. While that has meant he's sometimes underperformed during bull runs, it's what's helped the investor beat the market during periods of volatility.

Part of that has to do with his massive cash hoard. While Buffett's operating profits fell during the fourth quarter in 2022, his cash allocation grew to $128.651 billion, up from roughly $109 billion in the third quarter. In fact, Buffett said Berkshire will continue to hold a "boatload" of cash and U.S. Treasury bills.

"We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses," Buffett wrote in his annual shareholder letter. "And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings. At Berkshire, there will be no finish line."

It also has to do with his long-held affection for insurance companies. The firms that are well-run constantly review their risks to remain profitable and are huge cash generators.

He first bought property and casualty insurer National Indemnity more than a half century ago, which helped produce cash for Berkshire's future ventures. Last year, he bought insurance firm Alleghany in an $11.6 billion transaction, a deal that was Buffett's biggest since 2016.

In the past, Buffett has called investing a "simple game," and that has proved out over his career. Berkshire has had a compounded annual gain of 19.8% from 1965 to 2022, compared with 9.9% for the S&P 500 during the same time.

"Buffett, throughout his career, has made a habit of going against the crowd, and that has served him well," Bespoke's Hickey said. "That's something that most investors, while they say they like to do that, they have a much harder time doing in practice."

— CNBC's Yun Li contributed to this report

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has been a fortress stock during recessions and bear markets. Here's how (2024)

FAQs

Is Berkshire Hathaway recession proof? ›

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A, BRK-B)

The last one on the list of recession-proof stocks is Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A, NYSE:BRK-B). Currently, most of Warren Buffett's holdings are in massive blue-chip stocks that should weather any economic environment.

What is the 10 year return on Berkshire Hathaway? ›

Ten Year Stock Price Total Return for Berkshire Hathaway is calculated as follows: Last Close Price [ 407.41 ] / Adj Prior Close Price [ 126.80 ] (-) 1 (=) Total Return [ 221.3% ] Prior price dividend adjustment factor is 1.00.

Does brk b outperform the s&p 500? ›

Historical Performance. Berkshire Hathaway: Has historically outperformed the S&P 500 over the long term under Warren Buffett's leadership. However, past performance doesn't guarantee future results.

What are Mr. Buffett's three rules for investing? ›

What are Warren Buffett's biggest investing rules?
  • Rule 1: Never lose money. This is considered by many to be Buffett's most important rule and is the foundation of his investment philosophy. ...
  • Rule 2: Focus on the long term. ...
  • Rule 3: Know what you're investing in.
Mar 6, 2024

What is the 20 year return on Berkshire Hathaway? ›

But—and here's the kicker—from 2003 to 2022, a period of 20 years, the S&P 500 delivered a 9.80% compounded annual return while Berkshire came in lower at 9.75%.

What is the best recession proof stock? ›

The best recession stocks include consumer staples, utilities and healthcare companies, all of which produce goods and services that consumers can't do without, no matter how bad the economy gets.

What is the average return on brk a? ›

Profitability
MetricBRK.APGR
Return on Assets (Normalized)3.90%6.83%
Return on Equity (Normalized)7.49%32.37%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)6.61%24.07%

How much did BRK B cost in 2000? ›

In January of 2000, shares of Berkshire Class B traded at about $1,646. Right before the stock split in 2010, they traded for roughly $3,353, which means at that point, you were up about 104% and had turned your $5,000 into $10,200.

How much did Berkshire Hathaway stock cost in 1983? ›

That took the stock to the $1,000 mark by 1983, which at the time was even rarer than it is today. It took just six years for Berkshire to climb from $100 to $1,000 per share, and another nine years brought the company's share price to the $10,000 mark by 1992.

Why would someone buy BRK A over BRK B? ›

Key Takeaways. Berkshire Hathaway Class A is the company's original stock offering, known for its stratospheric price per share. Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares, first issued in 1996, are more modestly priced and have a correspondingly modest share of equity value in the company.

Will BRK B ever pay dividends? ›

For decades, many investors have called on Berkshire Hathaway (BRK. A 0.19%) (BRK. B 0.09%) to pay a dividend, but Warren Buffett has refused to authorize one.

What was Warren Buffett's best investment? ›

Warren Buffett's top stocks of all time and long-held positions
  1. Coca-Cola (KO) Berkshire began buying Coca-Cola's stock in the fall of 1988, eventually building a $1.3 billion position. ...
  2. American Express (AXP) ...
  3. Moody's (MCO) ...
  4. Apple (AAPL) ...
  5. Bank of America (BAC)
May 9, 2024

What is Warren Buffett's golden rule? ›

Warren Buffett once said, “The first rule of an investment is don't lose [money]. And the second rule of an investment is don't forget the first rule. And that's all the rules there are.”

What is the Buffett rule? ›

The Buffett Rule is the basic principle that no household making over $1 million annually should pay a smaller share of their income in taxes than middle-class families pay. Warren Buffett has famously stated that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary, but as this report documents this situation is not uncommon.

What are Warren Buffett's 5 rules? ›

Here's Buffett's take on the five basic rules of investing.
  • Never lose money. ...
  • Never invest in businesses you cannot understand. ...
  • Our favorite holding period is forever. ...
  • Never invest with borrowed money. ...
  • Be fearful when others are greedy.
Jan 11, 2023

Is Berkshire Hathaway a good hedge against inflation? ›

A Good Inflation Hedge And More

In this regard, through its stock holdings, Berkshire is reasonably well protected against inflation. Energy stocks should do well in this environment, while many of Berkshire's operating businesses, such as logistics and insurance, should be able to quickly adjust to inflation.

Is Berkshire Hathaway a stable stock? ›

BRK.

Berkshire's stock performance has generally been solid, increasing at a 12.1% (11.8%) CAGR during 2019-23 (2014-23), compared with a 15.7% (12.0%) average annual return for the S&P 500 TR Index. At the end of 2023, Berkshire had $168.9 billion in insurance float.

Why is Berkshire Hathaway a good long term investment? ›

Berkshire Hathaway has historically been a great investment. Now looks like as good a time to buy as any. Berkshire should deliver returns as good as the S&P 500, if not better, with less volatility because of its focus on owning high-quality operating companies and publicly traded stocks.

Which industry is recession-proof? ›

Historically, the industries considered to be the most defensive and better placed to fare reasonably during recessions are utilities, health care, and consumer staples.

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