Is 2024 going to be a good year for the stock market?
As a whole, analysts are optimistic about the outlook for stock prices in 2024. The consensus analyst price target for the S&P 500 is 5,090, suggesting roughly 8.5% upside from current levels.
Wall Street analysts' consensus estimates predict 3.6% earnings growth and 3.5% revenue growth for S&P 500 companies in the first quarter. Analysts project full-year S&P 500 earnings growth of 11.0% in 2024, but analysts are more optimistic about some market sectors than others.
We expect lackluster global earnings growth with downside for equities from current levels.β Against this backdrop, value stocks have a strong chance of outperforming their growth counterparts in 2024.
Stocks and bonds may both be poised for success in 2024. Easing inflation and a pivoting Fed should reduce headwinds that have faced both asset classes in recent years. Resilient growth may prove to be an additional tailwind for stocks.
Meanwhile, the median streak of positive returns can extend to 17 months with a gain of 14%, based on historical data. That suggests the S&P 500 could trade to 6,000 by August 2025, and to as high as 6,150 by November 2025.
Economic growth actually accelerated above its 10-year average in 2023. That resilience, coupled with a fascination about artificial intelligence (AI), changed investors' collective mood. The S&P 500 soared throughout the year and finally reached a new high in January 2024, making the new bull market official.
The updated Dow Jones price prediction for the next 5 years is for the index to trade around 45,000 points. Long Forecast predicts Dow Jones to trade at 39071 points in the first month of 2024 and and advance up to 48,000 points by the end of the year. This is the most bullish Dow Jones forecast for 2024.
S.No. | Company | Industry/Sector |
---|---|---|
1. | Tata Consultancy Services Ltd | IT - Software |
2. | Infosys Ltd | IT - Software |
3. | Hindustan Unilever Ltd | FMCG |
4. | Reliance Industries Ltd | Refineries |
Company | 3-Year Sales Growth CAGR | Industry |
---|---|---|
Block (NYSE:SQ) | 16% | Digital payments |
Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY) | 10% | E-commerce |
Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) | 39% | Semiconductors |
Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) | 7% | Streaming entertainment |
Stocks are considered long-term investments. This is, in part, because it's not unusual for stocks to drop 10% to 20% or more in value over a shorter period of time. Investors have the opportunity to ride out some of these highs and lows over a period of many years or even decades to generate a better long-term return.
How not to invest in 2024?
- Don't take too much, or too little, risk. Investing is always a balance. ...
- Don't reach blindly for yield. ...
- Don't be 'absolutely' wrong (it's OK to be a bit wrong)
U.S. stock returns: 2023 optimism carries forward
This heightened optimism is on par with the positive outlook in December 2021, when investors anticipated a 6% stock market return for 2022. Investor expectations for stock returns over the long run (defined as the next 10 years) rose slightly to 7.2%.
Here's the Growth Stock to Buy Right Now. The Nasdaq-100 technology index plunged into a bear market in 2022 on the back of a 33% loss for the year.
Over the trailing-30-year period, this widely followed index has increased at an annualized rate of 8.09%! If this superior rate of gains were to persist, the Dow could reach 50,000 before the calendar changes to 2028.
The S&P 500 still has 30% upside between now and the end of 2025, according to Capital Economics. "Our end-2025 forecast of 6,500 for the index is premised on its valuation reaching a similar level to its peak during the dot com mania," Capital Economics said.
Analysts see big potential for these drugs over the next 12 months. Fiverr International (FVRR): FVRR to could double as freelancing grows. Lithium Americas (LAC): The rebound of lithium prices make LAC strong.
So, with these five bullish factors at play, I believe 2024 will be a good year for equities, and for stock pickers in particular, as investor focus moves to new and interesting parts of the market.
After a spectacular 2023, stocks are off to the races again in 2024. YTD, the Dow is up 2.72%, the S&P is up 7.28%, and the Nasdaq is up 6.41%. (And that's on top of last year's 13.7%, 24.2%, and 43.4% respectively.)
How long do bull markets last? A bull market can last more than a decade or a few months. Stocks are in a bull market more often than not. The previous bull market lasted less than two years, starting in March 2020 and ending in January 2022.
A separate Reuters poll of economists published earlier this week predicted June was the most likely month the Fed would begin cutting. Analysts expect overall S&P 500 earnings to rise 9.5% in 2024 after increasing around 4% in 2023, LSEG data showed. But valuations have risen along with stock prices.
Is now a good time to put money in the stock market?
Stock prices have surged significantly over the past 18 months. The S&P 500 is up by 45% since it bottomed out in October 2022, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq has soared by a whopping 58% in that time. Investing now, then, means paying much higher prices than you would if you'd bought a year or two ago.
Target Stock Price Forecast 2024-2025
Target price started in 2024 at $134.78. Today, Target traded at $177.21, so the price increased by 31% from the beginning of the year. The forecasted Target price at the end of 2024 is $236 - and the year to year change +75%.
Wayfair Inc. (NYSE:W), Match Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTCH), and Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) are some of the stocks that will double in 2024, besides StoneCo Ltd.
S.No. | Name | CMP Rs. |
---|---|---|
2. | Motherson Wiring | 70.14 |
3. | I R C T C | 1011.80 |
4. | Lloyds Metals | 718.25 |
5. | Hindustan Zinc | 409.10 |
- Bajaj Finance Ltd. ...
- Titan Company Ltd. ...
- Varun Beverages Ltd. ...
- Cholamandalam Investment & Finance Company Ltd. ...
- Tube Investments of India Ltd. ...
- SRF Ltd. ...
- Solar Industries India Ltd. ...
- Persistent Systems Ltd.